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Red70
291410.7
445621.6
286721.6
Blue82
686319.0
584110.2
61423.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61532040801001207082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +11
8Coral scored#11
29Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
43Total teleop54
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
12Foul points6
70Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#22
21.60.6
19.620.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
blue by 1.7
614
#14
23.32.3
20.322.6
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
21.60.6
18.619.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
red by 2.6
6863
#18
19.02.3
15.417.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Third
2914
#23
10.71.0
11.112.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
red by 0.6
5841
#27
10.22.3
6.28.4
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed