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Red68
482127.9
823012.8
511519.9
Blue45
686319.0
284911.6
903318.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8362020401001201406845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+13Teleop
+13Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave9
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +10
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points22
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
38Total teleop28
Reef
5L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
12Foul points2
68Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.1
28.627.5
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
red by 8.9
6863
#18
19.00.9
17.716.8
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
Second
19.91.1
16.615.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
red by 1.7
9033
#15
18.31.5
19.618.1
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
8230
#28
12.81.8
14.612.9
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 1.2
2849
#20
11.60.9
8.77.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned35%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed