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Red46
623919.5
291410.7
524315.1
Blue82
337324.3
621313.0
859033.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28700204060801001201404682

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+36
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave6
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points11
12Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +35
2Coral scored#11
8Coral points41
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
16Total teleop51
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#15
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +36
2Foul points0
46Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.50.6
15.115.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 14.4
33.91.3
30.731.9
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Second
5243
#24
15.10.6
7.48.0
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
blue by 9.2
24.31.3
19.620.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Third
2914
#23
10.71.1
12.113.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 2.3
13.01.3
12.613.9
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned66%Barge oddsEarned