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Red98
872625.2
463827.4
450522.2
Blue28
1049912.2
445621.6
832611.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6238020801001209828

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+64Teleop
+64Endgame
+70Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +56
14Coral scored#3
52Coral points10
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
70Total teleop14
Reef
6L4#1
5L3#1
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +70
6Foul points0
98Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#13
27.42.5
17.219.7
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
red by 5.8
21.60.6
19.218.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
8726
#10
25.22.5
23.125.6
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
red by 13.0
12.20.6
9.08.3
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Third
4505
#11
22.22.5
14.316.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 10.7
8326
#26
11.50.6
9.38.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned47%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed