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Red33
584110.2
29122.9
189532.7
Blue82
138927.3
173149.5
179312.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions301010204060801201401603382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+43
Endgame+49
Fouls+49
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#5
4Coral points23
13Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +33
3Coral scored#7
12Coral points25
0Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
0Processor points12
0Net points8
0Algae points20
12Total teleop45
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#3
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
4Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +6
8Cage & park14
8Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +49
0Foul points0
33Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
32.70.4
28.227.8
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
blue by 16.9
49.50.2
48.147.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
Second
5841
#27
10.20.4
8.48.1
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 17.1
1389
#19
27.30.4
26.025.6
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
Third
2912
#29
2.90.4
1.71.4
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
blue by 9.5
1793
#21
12.40.2
11.511.2
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
24%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed84%Barge oddsEarned