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Red73
284911.6
144613.9
337324.3
Blue49
218615.8
903318.3
291410.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454302060807349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+12Teleop
+10Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points10
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +19
7Coral scored#4
25Coral points14
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#0
6Processor points6
8Net points0
14Algae points6
39Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#7
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
14Foul points0
73Total score49

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.1
20.922.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
red by 6.0
9033
#15
18.30.8
18.118.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Second
1446
#25
13.91.9
13.615.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
blue by 1.9
2186
#17
15.80.8
10.511.3
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.7
Third
2849
#20
11.61.1
7.88.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 0.9
2914
#23
10.70.8
13.113.9
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed17%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned64%Barge oddsEarned