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Qual 312025 CHS District Bethesda MD Event presented by Bechtel
Red48
872625.2
686319.0
621313.0
Blue86
859033.9
623919.5
286721.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62732040801001201404886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#11
28Coral points39
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
36Total teleop63
Reef
5L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +4
0Cage & park4
0Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
48Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8726
#10
25.20.5
25.6→25.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
blue by 8.7
8590
#9
33.91.3
31.9→33.3
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Second
6863
#18
19.00.5
16.8→16.2
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 2.6
2867
#22
21.61.3
18.4→19.8
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Third
6213
#7
13.00.5
13.9→13.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
blue by 6.4
6239
#8
19.51.3
15.7→17.1
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed