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Red44
823012.8
138927.3
584110.2
Blue79
524315.1
511519.9
445621.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504102060801001204479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+29
Fouls+35
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave3
4Coral scored#1
19Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +29
4Coral scored#9
15Coral points32
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
0Processor points12
4Net points4
4Algae points16
19Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +35
0Foul points6
44Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#19
27.30.3
25.625.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
red by 5.7
21.62.1
18.520.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
8230
#28
12.80.3
12.912.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
blue by 7.2
19.92.1
15.517.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
Third
5841
#27
10.20.2
8.17.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 4.9
5243
#24
15.12.1
8.010.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsEarned