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Red42
291410.7
482127.9
337324.3
Blue34
823012.8
29122.9
872625.2
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions824702040601001201404234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+4
+8Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +10
2Coral scored#5
8Coral points18
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#0
6Processor points6
0Net points0
6Algae points6
14Total teleop24
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#2
0L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#7
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points0
42Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.9
28.226.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
red by 2.7
8726
#10
25.20.7
25.024.3
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Second
24.31.9
22.020.1
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
red by 11.5
8230
#28
12.81.1
12.611.5
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
2914
#23
10.72.9
13.911.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
red by 7.9
2912
#29
2.90.7
2.01.3
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed