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Red57
832611.5
623919.5
189532.7
Blue70
450522.2
11617.7
284911.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6544020801001201405770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+13
Fouls+13
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +4
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
39Total teleop35
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points0
57Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
32.70.0
30.130.1
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
red by 10.5
4505
#11
22.21.8
19.120.9
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
19.50.0
17.117.0
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 1.8
116
#4
17.71.8
15.617.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
Third
8326
#26
11.50.0
10.210.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 0.1
2849
#20
11.61.8
8.910.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned14%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsEarned