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Red41
1049912.2
179312.4
584110.2
Blue44
144613.9
621313.0
61423.3
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306102040801001201404144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
Fouls+3
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +2
4Coral scored#5
14Coral points18
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#1
6Processor points0
0Net points4
6Algae points4
20Total teleop22
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +3
2Foul points6
41Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1793
#21
12.40.6
12.713.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 10.9
614
#14
23.30.9
23.122.2
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
12.20.6
9.09.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
blue by 1.7
1446
#25
13.91.4
15.514.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
5841
#27
10.20.6
7.98.5
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 2.9
13.00.9
13.312.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed