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Red89
511519.9
173149.5
291410.7
Blue67
463827.4
524315.1
286721.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions894602060801001201401608967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave9
3Coral scored#3
14Coral points14
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +12
9Coral scored#7
34Coral points26
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
52Total teleop40
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
89Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.7
49.450.1
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
red by 22.1
4638
#13
27.41.1
21.222.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Second
19.90.7
17.618.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
blue by 1.6
2867
#22
21.61.1
19.520.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Third
2914
#23
10.71.1
11.012.1
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 4.4
5243
#24
15.11.1
10.111.2
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
90%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsMissed