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Red56
832611.5
859033.9
284911.6
Blue51
337324.3
450522.2
29122.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5740020801001205651

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+15Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
3Leave6
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
13Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +11
6Coral scored#4
21Coral points16
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
31Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
3L2#0
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +5
6Foul points6
56Total score51

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.2
31.831.6
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
red by 9.6
24.30.2
20.120.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Second
2849
#20
11.60.2
10.710.5
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 10.6
4505
#11
22.20.2
20.921.1
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
8326
#26
11.50.2
10.210.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
red by 8.7
2912
#29
2.90.2
1.31.5
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned19%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed63%Barge oddsEarned