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Red75
482127.9
524315.1
284911.6
Blue52
179312.4
832611.5
286721.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59553040507080907552

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +4
7Coral scored#7
25Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
43Total teleop39
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#11
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
14Foul points0
75Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.3
26.326.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
red by 6.3
2867
#22
21.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
Second
5243
#24
15.10.3
11.211.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
red by 2.7
1793
#21
12.40.0
13.413.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Third
2849
#20
11.60.3
10.510.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 0.1
8326
#26
11.50.0
10.010.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed