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Red108
189532.7
511519.9
872625.2
Blue62
291410.7
859033.9
61423.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837220406010012010862

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+12Teleop
+22Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#11
36Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
54Total teleop49
Reef
7L4#4
2L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
24Foul points0
108Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
32.70.7
30.230.9
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
blue by 1.2
33.90.5
31.631.1
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Second
8726
#10
25.20.7
25.326.0
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
red by 1.9
614
#14
23.30.5
23.222.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Third
19.90.7
17.918.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
red by 9.2
2914
#23
10.70.7
12.111.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsEarned38%Barge oddsMissed