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Red34
584110.2
11617.7
903318.3
Blue78
337324.3
1049912.2
138927.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4061020801001201403478

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+30
Endgame+40
Fouls+44
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points16
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +23
3Coral scored#9
12Coral points31
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
16Total teleop39
Reef
2L4#5
1L3#2
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
6Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
2Foul points6
34Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9033
#15
18.30.8
16.315.5
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
blue by 9.0
1389
#19
27.31.5
24.926.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
Second
116
#4
17.70.6
16.916.3
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
blue by 6.6
24.31.0
20.321.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Third
5841
#27
10.20.6
8.17.5
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 2.0
12.21.0
11.112.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned