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Red15
29122.9
179312.4
621313.0
Blue82
463827.4
218615.8
445621.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2465040801001201401601582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+57
Endgame+67
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +17
6Leave3
0Coral scored#4
0Coral points20
6Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
1Coral scored#8
5Coral points27
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#3
0Processor points6
0Net points12
0Algae points18
5Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#4
0L3#4
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points0
15Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.00.8
12.211.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
blue by 14.4
4638
#13
27.41.8
23.825.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Second
1793
#21
12.40.8
13.412.6
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
blue by 9.2
21.61.8
18.720.5
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Third
2912
#29
2.90.8
1.50.7
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
blue by 12.9
2186
#17
15.82.5
13.215.7
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
13%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed22%Barge oddsEarned