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Red44
686319.0
286721.6
872625.2
Blue73
524315.1
903318.3
337324.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70520204060801001204473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+21
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
6Coral scored#10
22Coral points36
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
26Total teleop50
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
44Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8726
#10
25.21.4
26.024.7
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
red by 0.9
24.31.6
21.323.0
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Second
2867
#22
21.61.4
20.619.2
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 3.3
9033
#15
18.32.0
15.517.5
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
6863
#18
19.01.4
17.816.4
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 3.9
5243
#24
15.11.6
11.413.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed76%Barge oddsEarned