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Red87
284911.6
61423.3
511519.9
Blue55
450522.2
445621.6
584110.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585401001502002508755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave9
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +11
9Coral scored#6
33Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
41Total teleop30
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#10
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
20Foul points2
87Total score55

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#14
23.31.0
22.723.7
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 1.1
4505
#11
22.20.1
22.923.0
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Second
19.91.0
18.619.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
blue by 1.6
21.60.1
20.520.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Third
2849
#20
11.61.0
10.811.8
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 1.4
5841
#27
10.20.1
7.57.6
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed