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Red41
621313.0
291410.7
463827.4
Blue41
218615.8
823012.8
179312.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524302060801004141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+24Teleop
+2Endgame
0Fouls0
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave6
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
4Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
17Total teleop3
Reef
3L4#0
2L3#1
1L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
8Game pieces#1
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totallevel
4Foul points6
41Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4638
#13
27.4
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
red by 11.6
2186
#17
15.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.7
Second
13.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 0.3
8230
#28
12.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
2914
#23
10.7
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 1.7
1793
#21
12.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
60%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsEarned