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Red80
173149.5
686319.0
623919.5
Blue78
144613.9
189532.7
524315.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1005801508078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
Teleop+6
+4Endgame
+2Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
26Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +26
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points40
0Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
0Processor points12
8Net points12
8Algae points24
38Total teleop64
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#4
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#17
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +2
0Foul points2
80Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.3
48.848.4
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
red by 16.9
1895
#12
32.71.3
30.932.2
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
Second
19.50.3
19.919.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 4.4
5243
#24
15.11.3
13.114.4
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Third
6863
#18
19.00.3
16.416.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 5.1
1446
#25
13.91.6
11.913.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
70%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed