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Red73
903318.3
286721.6
511519.9
Blue66
29122.9
872625.2
138927.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595202040801001207366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+1Teleop
+3Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
13Total auto17
TeleoperatedRed +5
11Coral scored#8
38Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
48Total teleop43
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
6Foul points2
73Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2867
#22
21.60.7
19.219.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
blue by 5.7
1389
#19
27.31.0
26.527.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
Second
19.90.7
19.620.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
blue by 5.3
8726
#10
25.20.8
24.725.5
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Third
9033
#15
18.30.8
17.518.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
red by 15.4
2912
#29
2.90.8
0.71.5
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed