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Red69
621313.0
482127.9
11617.7
Blue48
179312.4
284911.6
291410.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions684402060801001206948

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+13Teleop
+33Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
3Leave0
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
4Coral scored#4
16Coral points15
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
0Processor points6
12Net points0
12Algae points6
28Total teleop21
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#7
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points12
69Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.8
25.526.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
red by 15.5
1793
#21
12.40.2
12.612.4
Auto1.9
Teleop8.9
End1.6
Second
116
#4
17.70.8
16.917.7
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
red by 6.1
2849
#20
11.60.2
11.811.6
Auto3.1
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
13.00.8
11.412.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
red by 2.3
2914
#23
10.70.2
11.411.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsMissed