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Red85
286721.6
337324.3
445621.6
Blue40
823012.8
1049912.2
463827.4
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55460204060801008540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+31Teleop
+45Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +27
10Coral scored#6
35Coral points22
1Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
6Processor points0
12Net points4
18Algae points4
53Total teleop26
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#9
BargeRed +14
16Cage & park2
16Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points0
85Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.32.1
21.223.3
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
blue by 3.1
4638
#13
27.40.3
17.216.9
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
Second
2867
#22
21.62.1
17.119.3
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 8.8
8230
#28
12.80.6
19.318.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
Third
21.62.1
14.516.7
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
red by 9.4
12.20.3
8.48.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsEarned32%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned15%Barge oddsMissed