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Red60
189532.7
11617.7
291410.7
Blue40
511519.9
29122.9
144613.9
73%Model gave it27%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5842020801006040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+18Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points4
12Total auto10
TeleoperatedRed +16
5Coral scored#3
18Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
28Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
9Game pieces#4
BargeRed +8
20Cage & park12
20Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
60Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#12
32.70.5
26.226.7
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
red by 12.7
19.90.3
17.617.3
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
Second
116
#4
17.70.5
12.312.8
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8
red by 3.8
1446
#25
13.90.5
14.814.3
Auto2.6
Teleop9.6
End1.7
Third
2914
#23
10.70.8
14.415.2
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
red by 7.9
2912
#29
2.90.3
6.15.8
Auto1.4
Teleop-0.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
33%Barge oddsEarned30%Barge oddsMissed