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Red95
482127.9
463827.4
686319.0
Blue154
173149.5
859033.9
286721.6
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8412205010015020095154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+15
Teleop+57
Endgame+61
Fouls+59
AutonomousBlue +15
0Leave6
2Coral scored#4
12Coral points21
12Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +42
10Coral scored#23
37Coral points81
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#3
12Processor points18
20Net points12
32Algae points30
69Total teleop111
Reef
4L4#8
4L3#9
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#5
19Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +4
12Cage & park16
12Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +59
2Foul points0
95Total score154

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.2
26.827.0
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
blue by 21.7
49.51.0
47.948.8
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
Second
4638
#13
27.40.2
26.326.5
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
blue by 6.4
33.91.0
32.233.2
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Third
6863
#18
19.00.2
17.918.1
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
blue by 2.6
2867
#22
21.61.0
19.920.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5