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Red118
482127.9
463827.4
686319.0
Blue83
823012.8
450522.2
872625.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93722040608010012014011883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+29Teleop
+29Endgame
+35Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
26Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +26
15Coral scored#8
54Coral points28
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
72Total teleop46
Reef
5L4#4
6L3#4
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +35
6Foul points0
118Total score83

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.6
27.027.6
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
red by 2.7
8726
#10
25.20.3
24.925.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Second
4638
#13
27.40.6
26.527.2
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
red by 5.2
4505
#11
22.20.3
21.922.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
6863
#18
19.00.6
18.118.7
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 6.2
8230
#28
12.80.4
12.412.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4