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Red81
291410.7
511519.9
337324.3
Blue67
823012.8
450522.2
872625.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions576301001508167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
Teleop+2
+18Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave6
2Coral scored#1
11Coral points3
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +13
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
23Total teleop36
Reef
2L4#3
2L3#1
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#10
BargeRed +20
24Cage & park4
24Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +14
14Foul points18
81Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.2
24.724.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
blue by 0.9
8726
#10
25.20.3
25.525.2
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
Second
19.90.2
20.320.6
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
blue by 2.3
4505
#11
22.20.3
22.522.2
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
Third
2914
#23
10.70.3
11.211.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 2.0
8230
#28
12.80.3
13.112.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4