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Red98
173149.5
859033.9
286721.6
Blue70
584110.2
524315.1
621313.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112210501001509870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+30Teleop
+22Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
18Processor points6
12Net points12
30Algae points18
77Total teleop44
Reef
7L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
20Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +28
6Foul points0
98Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.50.4
47.947.5
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
red by 34.4
5243
#24
15.10.6
14.314.8
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
33.90.4
32.231.8
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
red by 20.8
13.00.6
12.212.8
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
2867
#22
21.60.4
19.919.5
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5
red by 11.4
5841
#27
10.20.6
9.39.9
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7