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Red73
61423.3
832611.5
138927.3
Blue52
218615.8
623919.5
445621.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72622040801001207352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+15Teleop
+27Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points19
12Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +22
8Coral scored#4
27Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop19
Reef
4L4#3
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +21
6Foul points12
73Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#19
27.30.1
27.427.5
Auto5.8
Teleop15.3
End6.2
red by 5.7
21.60.4
22.021.6
Auto3.8
Teleop15.0
End2.8
Second
614
#14
23.30.1
23.523.6
Auto5.1
Teleop16.7
End1.6
red by 3.8
19.50.4
19.919.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Third
8326
#26
11.50.1
11.711.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.4
End4.0
blue by 4.3
2186
#17
15.80.5
16.315.8
Auto4.2
Teleop8.9
End2.7