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Red56
823012.8
450522.2
872625.2
Blue50
584110.2
524315.1
621313.0
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions643202040801001201405650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+6
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +5
4Coral scored#6
15Coral points20
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
0Processor points0
4Net points4
4Algae points4
19Total teleop24
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
6Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +6
12Foul points0
56Total score50

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8726
#10
25.20.4
25.224.8
Auto5.7
Teleop17.9
End1.6
red by 10.1
5243
#24
15.10.3
14.815.1
Auto3.9
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
4505
#11
22.20.4
22.221.8
Auto4.5
Teleop16.4
End1.3
red by 9.2
13.00.3
12.813.0
Auto2.9
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
8230
#28
12.80.4
12.812.4
Auto3.7
Teleop7.7
End1.4
red by 2.6
5841
#27
10.20.3
9.910.2
Auto5.6
Teleop3.0
End1.7