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Red97
482127.9
463827.4
686319.0
Blue94
903318.3
11617.7
189532.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions908570801001101209794

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+3Teleop
+3Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave6
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +11
9Coral scored#12
33Coral points44
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
12Processor points12
12Net points12
24Algae points24
57Total teleop68
Reef
5L4#5
4L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +3
0Foul points0
97Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.3
26.526.8
Auto5.2
Teleop15.8
End6.9
blue by 4.8
1895
#12
32.70.3
32.332.6
Auto4.2
Teleop24.5
End4.0
Second
4638
#13
27.40.3
26.026.3
Auto10.1
Teleop15.8
End1.5
red by 9.1
9033
#15
18.30.3
17.918.2
Auto2.3
Teleop12.2
End3.8
Third
6863
#18
19.00.3
17.617.9
Auto4.6
Teleop12.7
End1.7
red by 1.3
116
#4
17.70.3
17.317.6
Auto4.8
Teleop7.1
End5.8