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Red58
291410.7
511519.9
337324.3
Blue125
173149.5
859033.9
286721.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51109010015058125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+51
Endgame+61
Fouls+67
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave0
3Coral scored#5
14Coral points26
20Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +45
6Coral scored#15
22Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
32Total teleop77
Reef
4L4#9
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
11Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Penalties & totalBlue +67
0Foul points6
58Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.30.0
24.924.9
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End7.7
blue by 25.3
49.50.4
47.547.9
Auto12.9
Teleop28.3
End8.4
Second
19.90.0
20.620.5
Auto5.5
Teleop10.3
End4.1
blue by 13.9
33.90.4
31.832.2
Auto4.8
Teleop27.3
End1.7
Third
2914
#23
10.70.0
11.411.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End3.8
blue by 10.9
2867
#22
21.60.4
19.519.9
Auto3.5
Teleop16.6
End1.5