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Red88
172753.8
862213.1
111122.9
Blue37
450517.6
219937.3
61212.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127940501502002503008837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+51Teleop
+51Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +61
12Coral scored#2
44Coral points7
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
12Processor points0
12Net points0
24Algae points0
68Total teleop7
Reef
5L4#2
2L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points0
88Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.81.8
62.460.6
Auto6.1
Teleop35.6
End12.1
red by 16.5
2199
#13
37.33.9
46.242.3
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End7.7
Second
22.91.8
27.225.5
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End2.2
red by 5.3
4505
#26
17.63.9
29.025.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Third
8622
#18
13.11.8
24.823.0
Auto1.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
red by 0.5
612
#23
12.63.9
20.616.7
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
46%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned63%Barge oddsEarned