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Red92
454136.7
19157.0
253430.0
Blue134
872619.4
83665.7
907240.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9418405015020025030092134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+30
Endgame+44
Fouls+42
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +30
11Coral scored#18
41Coral points63
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#5
12Processor points12
12Net points20
24Algae points32
65Total teleop95
Reef
7L4#10
3L3#4
3L2#5
2L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#30
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
2Foul points0
92Total score134

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#14
36.70.7
42.742.0
Auto11.0
Teleop23.8
End1.9
blue by 29.0
836
#3
65.72.0
71.269.2
Auto14.6
Teleop41.6
End9.4
Second
2534
#19
30.00.7
36.936.1
Auto7.9
Teleop19.9
End2.2
blue by 10.9
40.82.0
53.051.1
Auto7.7
Teleop31.6
End1.6
Third
1915
#15
7.00.7
12.611.9
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 12.3
8726
#16
19.42.0
30.428.5
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed33%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned