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Red56
859247.4
61212.6
862213.1
Blue60
907240.8
632615.2
17193.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898102003004005005660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+10
Endgame+6
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +7
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#1
6Processor points12
4Net points4
10Algae points16
42Total teleop49
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#2
3L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#13
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
2Foul points0
56Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.41.9
48.046.1
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End5.2
red by 6.5
40.81.1
47.846.7
Auto7.7
Teleop31.6
End1.6
Second
8622
#18
13.11.9
17.916.0
Auto1.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 2.1
6326
#24
15.21.1
20.519.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
612
#23
12.61.9
13.811.9
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End1.8
red by 8.7
1719
#27
3.91.1
5.24.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
70%Auto oddsMissed72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed