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Red48
623911.6
374842.5
872619.4
Blue92
172753.8
511529.0
237716.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions811160501001502004892

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+20
Endgame+40
Fouls+44
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +23
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points37
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
24Total teleop47
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +44
2Foul points6
48Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#17
42.52.5
45.543.0
Auto7.1
Teleop28.4
End7.0
blue by 11.3
53.81.4
57.456.0
Auto6.1
Teleop35.6
End12.1
Second
8726
#16
19.42.5
26.824.3
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End0.4
blue by 9.7
5115
#11
29.01.4
31.329.9
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
6239
#25
11.62.5
10.88.3
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End0.5
blue by 5.4
16.91.4
17.916.5
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
35%Barge oddsMissed82%Barge oddsEarned