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Red109
162952.4
524317.6
219937.3
Blue59
99981.5
284912.8
454136.7
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1276605010015020025010959

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+40Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +30
9Coral scored#6
34Coral points22
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
12Processor points6
16Net points4
28Algae points10
62Total teleop32
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
3L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
109Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.40.2
54.754.5
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
red by 15.6
4541
#14
36.70.2
39.439.6
Auto11.0
Teleop23.8
End1.9
Second
2199
#13
37.30.2
42.242.0
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End7.7
red by 24.4
2849
#21
12.80.2
11.711.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End2.5
Third
5243
#10Sur
17.60.2
15.415.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.8
red by 16.0
9998
#12Sur
1.50.3
4.85.1
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed