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Red77
61212.6
237716.9
83665.7
Blue139
409917.2
859247.4
162952.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9913605020025030035077139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+20
Teleop+58
Endgame+56
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +20
6Leave6
1Coral scored#5
7Coral points27
13Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +38
9Coral scored#15
32Coral points54
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
42Total teleop80
Reef
2L4#9
4L3#4
2L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
6Foul points12
77Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3
65.71.5
65.664.0
Auto14.6
Teleop41.6
End9.4
red by 13.4
52.40.5
54.054.5
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
Second
16.91.5
16.515.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.8
blue by 30.5
47.40.5
46.146.6
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End5.2
Third
612
#23
12.61.5
11.910.4
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End1.8
blue by 4.6
4099
#22
17.20.6
18.719.2
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsMissed82%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed17%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned