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Red53
907240.8
450517.6
99925.6
Blue58
99981.5
172753.8
253714.9
45%Model gave it55%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84970501502002505358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+9Teleop
Endgame+5
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +1
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
35Total teleop36
Reef
4L4#2
4L3#2
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points0
53Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.81.3
44.242.9
Auto7.7
Teleop31.6
End1.6
blue by 13.0
53.81.3
56.655.3
Auto6.1
Teleop35.6
End12.1
Second
4505
#26
17.61.3
20.319.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
red by 2.6
2537
#20
14.91.3
14.312.9
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
Third
9992
#28
5.62.1
7.75.6
Auto1.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
red by 4.1
9998
#12
1.52.2
4.32.1
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned21%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed71%Barge oddsEarned