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Red66
872619.4
379325.9
219937.3
Blue80
632615.2
524317.6
374842.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98760501502006680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+20
Endgame+20
Fouls+14
AutonomousBlue +1
6Leave3
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points14
16Total auto17
TeleoperatedBlue +19
7Coral scored#10
26Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
40Total teleop59
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#18
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
6Foul points0
66Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2199
#13
37.32.1
40.838.7
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End7.7
blue by 5.3
3748
#17
42.50.3
42.642.9
Auto7.1
Teleop28.4
End7.0
Second
25.92.1
28.526.4
Auto6.9
Teleop16.6
End2.4
red by 8.3
5243
#10
17.60.3
15.816.1
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.8
Third
8726
#16
19.42.1
21.819.7
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End0.4
red by 4.2
6326
#24
15.20.3
16.917.2
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned75%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed