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Red77
253430.0
284912.8
623911.6
Blue89
61212.6
533849.6
19157.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions536702040801001201401607789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+18
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave3
2Coral scored#3
9Coral points13
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
10Coral scored#15
35Coral points55
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
53Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#5
3L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#21
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points0
77Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#19
30.01.4
30.732.0
Auto7.9
Teleop19.9
End2.2
blue by 19.6
49.61.9
45.747.5
Auto11.0
Teleop39.1
End-0.5
Second
2849
#21
12.81.4
11.512.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End2.5
red by 0.2
612
#23
12.61.9
10.412.2
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End1.8
Third
6239
#25
11.61.4
8.49.8
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End0.5
red by 4.6
1915
#15
7.01.9
5.27.0
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
54%Auto oddsEarned81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed19%Barge oddsMissed