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Red55
454136.7
17193.9
511529.0
Blue56
862213.1
237716.9
409917.2
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81420501001505556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+13Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+1
AutonomousRed +13
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points3
19Total auto6
Teleoperatedlevel
6Coral scored#6
20Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
30Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +1
2Foul points6
55Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#14
36.71.4
37.135.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.8
End1.9
red by 19.5
4099
#22
17.20.2
19.219.4
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4
Second
5115
#11
29.01.4
32.631.2
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
red by 12.1
16.90.2
15.015.1
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.8
Third
1719
#27DQ
3.91.4
4.22.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
blue by 9.2
8622
#18
13.10.2
13.413.6
Auto1.6
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed8%Barge oddsEarned