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Red84
374842.5
99981.5
533849.6
Blue41
17193.9
162952.4
99925.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129940501502008441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+43Teleop
+43Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points17
26Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +37
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points13
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
54Total teleop17
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
5L2#1
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
0Foul points0
84Total score41

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.61.0
40.939.9
Auto11.0
Teleop39.1
End-0.5
blue by 2.8
52.42.8
60.357.6
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
Second
3748
#17
42.51.0
48.847.8
Auto7.1
Teleop28.4
End7.0
red by 36.9
9992
#28
5.64.6
9.24.6
Auto1.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Third
9998
#12
1.51.7
9.27.6
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.2
blue by 2.4
1719
#27
3.92.8
13.110.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.4
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed