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Red49
511529.0
623911.6
450517.6
Blue99
379325.9
454136.7
859247.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions681560501002002504999

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+34
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
13Coral points23
16Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +24
5Coral scored#12
17Coral points43
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
0Processor points6
12Net points4
12Algae points10
29Total teleop53
Reef
4L4#8
2L3#4
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
49Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#11
29.01.7
34.733.0
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 18.3
47.42.6
54.251.7
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End5.2
Second
4505
#26
17.61.7
25.123.4
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
blue by 19.2
4541
#14
36.72.6
42.039.4
Auto11.0
Teleop23.8
End1.9
Third
6239
#25
11.61.7
14.913.2
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End0.5
blue by 14.3
25.92.6
35.132.5
Auto6.9
Teleop16.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed25%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned