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Red59
111122.9
409917.2
524317.6
Blue81
19157.0
907240.8
172753.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5814901002002505981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+10
Endgame+22
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
3Coral points10
6Total auto10
TeleoperatedBlue +6
11Coral scored#11
39Coral points39
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
51Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#6
3L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points0
59Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.90.6
25.524.9
Auto4.3
Teleop16.4
End2.2
blue by 30.9
53.83.2
60.657.4
Auto6.1
Teleop35.6
End12.1
Second
5243
#10
17.60.6
16.015.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.2
End0.8
blue by 23.3
40.83.2
51.147.8
Auto7.7
Teleop31.6
End1.6
Third
4099
#22
17.20.6
21.621.0
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4
red by 10.2
1915
#15
7.03.2
11.98.6
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed42%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed88%Barge oddsEarned