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Red110
533849.6
253430.0
237716.9
Blue66
219937.3
99925.6
632615.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1077205015020011066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+48Teleop
+38Endgame
+44Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#3
17Coral points13
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +38
15Coral scored#6
55Coral points23
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#1
6Processor points12
16Net points4
22Algae points16
77Total teleop39
Reef
7L4#2
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +44
6Foul points0
110Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.60.7
39.940.6
Auto11.0
Teleop39.1
End-0.5
red by 12.3
2199
#13
37.30.1
42.342.2
Auto8.4
Teleop21.2
End7.7
Second
2534
#19
30.00.7
36.136.8
Auto7.9
Teleop19.9
End2.2
red by 14.8
6326
#24
15.20.1
20.620.5
Auto4.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Third
16.90.7
17.217.9
Auto4.2
Teleop9.9
End2.8
red by 11.3
9992
#28
5.60.2
4.64.4
Auto1.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned71%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed45%Barge oddsEarned