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Red64
284912.8
61212.6
162952.4
Blue44
99981.5
872619.4
511529.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions105910501502002503003504006444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
+2Teleop
+2Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave3
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +15
6Coral scored#4
20Coral points15
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
34Total teleop19
Reef
3L4#2
2L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
18Foul points0
64Total score44

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.42.9
57.654.7
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
red by 23.3
5115
#11
29.01.7
33.031.3
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Second
2849
#21
12.82.9
14.511.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 6.5
8726
#16
19.41.7
28.526.8
Auto7.0
Teleop12.0
End0.4
Third
612
#23
12.62.9
16.713.8
Auto1.4
Teleop9.4
End1.8
red by 11.1
9998
#12
1.52.8
7.64.8
Auto2.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed