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Red49
409917.2
19157.0
374842.5
Blue57
450517.6
253430.0
859247.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771320501001502002504957

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
Teleop+10
Endgame+14
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +1
6Leave3
1Coral scored#1
4Coral points6
10Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +11
6Coral scored#9
21Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
31Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#1
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
6Foul points0
49Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3748
#17
42.52.3
47.845.5
Auto7.1
Teleop28.4
End7.0
blue by 4.9
47.43.7
51.748.0
Auto11.4
Teleop30.7
End5.2
Second
4099
#22
17.22.3
21.018.7
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4
blue by 12.8
2534
#19
30.03.7
36.833.2
Auto7.9
Teleop19.9
End2.2
Third
1915
#15
7.02.3
8.66.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.1
End1.5
blue by 10.6
4505
#26
17.63.7
23.419.7
Auto5.8
Teleop10.3
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned92%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
64%Barge oddsMissed50%Barge oddsMissed