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Red0
83665.7
533849.6
253714.9
Blue88
511529.0
409917.2
162952.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143109050200088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+84Teleop
+92Endgame
Fouls+88
AutonomousRed +1
0Leave3
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points26
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +83
24Coral scored#7
88Coral points25
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#3
18Processor points6
20Net points12
38Algae points18
126Total teleop43
Reef
9L4#4
10L3#4
8L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
38Game pieces#16
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +88
-168Foul points12
0Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#3DQ
65.70.9
64.865.7
Auto14.6
Teleop41.6
End9.4
red by 13.4
52.40.6
54.353.6
Auto16.5
Teleop33.2
End2.6
Second
5338
#1DQ
49.60.9
48.649.5
Auto11.0
Teleop39.1
End-0.5
red by 20.5
5115
#11
29.00.6
31.030.3
Auto7.3
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
2537
#20DQ
14.90.9
14.014.9
Auto2.1
Teleop10.9
End1.9
blue by 2.3
4099
#22
17.20.6
19.118.5
Auto4.9
Teleop12.0
End0.4